I See Dead People...on Facebook

Source: fusion.com, citing calculation by PhD candidate Hachem Saddiki

Source: fusion.com, citing calculation by PhD candidate Hachem Saddiki

From the fascinating but morbid category, the website FUSION asked a simple question-given that many Facebook users die and their pages are frequently kept up as a memoriam, at what date in the future will the number of dead Facebook users outpace the number of living ones?

In this well-written article, Kristin Brown explains PhD candidate Hachem Saddiki's number crunching to arrive at the threshold year...

2098.

There are some key assumptions behind the calculation, including the use of CDC US death rate data as a proxy for the death rate of worldwide Facebook users, as well as some embedded assumptions about the rate of growth of Facebook users in the future. It won't surprise most of you that the majority of current Facebook users are younger today, but if the overall rate of growth or demographics of Facebook population changes, this would change as well.

Nonetheless, an interesting, rigorous, and slightly ghoulish application of statistics.